The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) carries warm water from the tropics to the Arctic, keeping Europe’s winters mild.
Iceland has classified the potential collapse of a key Atlantic Ocean current as a national security concern, enabling the government to prepare for worst-case scenarios, the climate minister said.
Warming temperatures are accelerating Arctic ice thawing and causing meltwater from Greenland’s ice sheet to flow into the ocean, which scientists warn could disrupt ocean currents.
A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation could trigger a modern ice age, causing winter temperatures in Northern Europe to drop significantly and leading to more snow and ice.
The AMOC has collapsed before, notably before the last Ice Age around 12,000 years ago. “It poses a direct threat to our national resilience and security,” said Iceland’s Climate Minister.
This is the first time a climate-related phenomenon has been formally presented to the National Security Council as a potential existential threat, prompting Iceland’s ministries to coordinate a response, according to Iceland’s Climate Minister.
The government is evaluating necessary research and policies, focusing on disaster preparedness. Risks include energy and food security, infrastructure, and international transportation.
A collapse of the Atlantic current could disrupt rainfall patterns crucial for subsistence farmers in Africa, India, and South America, scientists warn.
It could also accelerate warming in Antarctica, where sea ice surrounding the southernmost continent and the ice sheets on it are already threatened by climate change.
Scientists warn that the world is underestimating the risk of an AMOC collapse, which could occur due to rising global temperatures.
In October, the Nordic Council of Ministers held a “Nordic Tipping Week” workshop with 60 experts to assess the potential societal impacts of environmental changes. They are finalizing recommendations from the meeting.
A Physical oceanographer at the Finnish Meteorological Institute noted, “There is a wealth of research on when these events may occur.”
Scientists from over 30 universities and organizations have expressed concerns about the rapid thawing of Earth’s glaciers and ice sheets, highlighting the lack of information on their societal impact.
In response, climate ministries and meteorological offices in Northern Europe are funding more research and assessing climate adaptation risks.
Ireland’s weather service informed the prime minister last year and a parliamentary committee last month.
Norway’s environment ministry is conducting new research to determine if the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) should be classified as a security risk.
Britain noted that scientific reports suggest an abrupt climate collapse is unlikely this century. The government is also investing over £81 million in research to determine when climate systems might hit a point of no return.
“The science is evolving quickly, and time is running out to take action as the tipping point approaches,” said an oceanographer at Germany’s Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. Iceland is acting cautiously amid rapid warming and rising greenhouse gas emissions.
“Sea ice can disrupt marine transport, and extreme weather threatens our agriculture and fisheries, essential to our economy,” he said. “We can’t wait for long-term research before acting.”
Hosea 4:1 The LORD hath a controversy with the inhabitants of the land because there is no truth, nor mercy, nor knowledge of God in the land.
Hosea 4:2 By swearing, and lying, and killing, and stealing, and committing adultery, they break out, and blood toucheth blood.
Hosea 4:3 Therefore shall the land mourn, and everyone that dwelleth therein shall languish=lose or lack vitality; grow weak or feeble, with the beasts of the field, and with the fowls of heaven; yea, the fishes of the sea also shall be taken away.
Luke 21:11 And great earthquakes shall be in divers places, and famines, and diseases; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven.
Luke 21:25 And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring;
Luke 21:28 And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh.
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