As Vladimir Putin’s game of chicken with the US and its allies over Ukraine escalates into a new round of nuclear threats, the smaller weapons his officials have called on him to use may provide vital hours or even days of warning.
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While Russia’s long-range missiles and bombers are kept on constant alert, ready to fire in just minutes to ensure they aren’t destroyed by a pre-emptive strike, lower-yielding tactical weapons are locked up in about a dozen warehouses across Russia, and it would take time to transport them to launchers.
“At a certain level of readiness, weapons are taken out of storage facilities and moved to some other place, for days if necessary. This would be detected by satellites or other means,” said Pavel Podvig, a nuclear security expert at the UN Institute for Disarmament Research in Geneva.
That would be exactly the point. Putin has been ambiguous in public, saying Russia would use “all weapons systems available to us” to defend its territory, including the newly annexed parts of Ukraine.
He said the US had “set a precedent” by using atomic bombs against Japan in World War II, hinting that he wouldn’t view any Russian use now as breaking a taboo.
A key lieutenant was even more explicit, calling for deploying “low-yielding nuclear weapons” after the latest reverses suffered by Russian troops. Russia has an estimated 1,900 weapons dating to the Cold War still in storage, as well as the missiles and planes needed to deliver them.
While using a nuclear warhead might not be enough to turn the tide on the battlefield, where the front runs to more than 1,200 kilometers, it could be a way for Putin to try to shock Ukraine and its Western allies into backing down.
James 1:1 From whence come wars and fightings among you? come they not hence, even of your lusts that war in your members?
James 1:2 Ye lust, and have not: ye kill, and desire to have, and cannot obtain: ye fight and war, yet ye have not, because ye ask not.
Luke 21:9 But when ye shall hear of wars and commotions, be not terrified: for these things must first come to pass; but the end is not by and by.
Luke 21:11 And great earthquakes shall be in divers places, and famines, and diseases; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven.
Luke 21:25 And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring;
Luke 21:28 And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh.
Revelations 11:18 And the nations were angry, and thy wrath is come, and the time of the dead, that they should be judged, and that thou shouldest give reward unto thy servants the prophets, and to the saints, and them that fear thy name, small and great; and shouldest destroy them which destroy the earth.
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